Read The Cover

"Some people try to predict the future by assuming current trends will continue. This is a bad method. For example, if you applied that forecasting method to a puppy, you'd predict that the puppy would continue growing larger and larger until one day-in a fit of uncontrolled happiness-its wagging tail would destroy a major metropolitan area. But that rarely happens, thanks to the National Guard."

                                                   -Chapter One: How to Predict The Future